Megathread: Long-Concealed Records Show President Trump’s Losses and Years of Tax Avoidance | Part II
President Donald Trump paid just $750 in federal income taxes in both 2016 and 2017, the New York Times reported Sunday, citing tax-return data. Megathread Part I
Trump's election chances hit by secret Chinese bank account allegations. Donald Trump's chances of being re-elected slid on Thursday, bookmakers said, in the wake of claims the president had paid the Chinese government more than $188,000 in taxes via a "secret" bank account.
This is the best tl;dr I could make, original reduced by 53%. (I'm a bot)
Donald Trump's chances of being re-elected slid on Thursday, bookmakers said, in the wake of claims the president had paid the Chinese government more than $188,000 in taxes via a "Secret" bank account. The negative movement for Trump came on the back of a New York Times story which alleged that Trump International Hotels Management had paid $188,561 in taxes to China between 2013 and 2015 while pursuing potential licensing deals. Trump's Chinese bank account is said to be one of only three foreign accounts the president maintains, with the other two located in the U.K. and Ireland. Alan Gartner, lawyer at the Trump Organization, told the Times that Trump opened a Chinese bank account "In order to pay the local taxes" on business ventures in the country. UK bookmaker Betfair said Biden had also gained ground at the expense of Trump because of the bounce some expected him to enjoy after Thursday's second and final presidential debate. "Betfair spokesperson Sam Rosbottom said:"Money has come for Joe Biden in anticipation of him performing well in the second and final debate with his odds already improving from 4-7 to 8-15, while the confidence in Trump is low as he's gone from 7-4 to 15-8.
Summary Source | FAQ | Feedback | Topkeywords: Trump#1Biden#2account#3Odds#4debate#5 Post found in /politics. NOTICE: This thread is for discussing the submission topic. Please do not discuss the concept of the autotldr bot here.
Some Serious Optimism For Us and Yang v Trump h2h Polls 😛
Just for a bit of background, I've been following Yang very closely for a year now and have been accumulating bets on him through UK bookmakers to win the election / become the nominee / and also, more recently, win individual states: (Iowa I got 100/1!) NH, NV, SC... some really nice odds. Even now you can get Yang at 50/1 to win the election.... so, combined with being an optimist, I obviously have some biases towards my conclusion of Yang's easy path to victory from here. I've also been a regular donator to the campaign and have been spreading the word amongst friends, family, uber drivers, etc. and buying people his book. I believe in his policies and have been pro-UBI for years. So the moment I heard Yang on JRE I was like F*CK!!! He is going to be the internet candidate, who wouldn't want $1k/m, he is genuine and he is a genius. This man will get elected !! Full discloure: I used to have a gambling problem (sports betting, roulette, blackjack, etc.). I quit this gambling after betting on Brexit and Trump in 2016, so I decided to just stick with politics. With my Trump bet in 2016, I only began to pay attention after he became the nominee (odds ranged from 3/1 - 5/1 when he was h2h v Clinton), but I was able to cash in on some nice state bets, narrowly nicked Michigan at 10/1!! lol Sooo, in my humble opinion, here is the obvious path to presidency from here:
Yang gets a top 3 in Iowa, and gains delegates. This ultimately comes down to huge new voter + repub turnout for Yang and enthusiam from our caucus goers who give compelling cases to join in round II
Media coverage & exposure increases as a result (may be limited due to impeachment + corrupt party & media :-) )
Kills it in the town hall & debate, where he likely gets more time due to top Iowa performance
Now Yang is seen as a serious candidate, we have h2h polls released with Trump where Yang is outperforming all other candidates(tipping point)
New Hampshire votes, where Yang comes 1st
No looking back, he is the candidate who can beat Trump
I think this is all going to happen very quickly - let's enjoy the ride!! What are your thoughts Yang Gang!!!
Betting Sites › Best Online Betting Sites in India (Feb 2020)
Internet wagering is at present legitimate in practically all over India. These wagering destinations offer an assortment of sports to draw in players of India to exploit a few extraordinary offers and great returns. Wagering is progressively respected in India. With an ever increasing number of internet wagering destinations hoping to take advantage of the gainful Indian market, it very well may be trying to pick between them. We should investigate how to locate the best wagering destinations. 1-Betway Betway is one of the most well known destinations. Betway is offering a thorough and monstrous scope of sports and markets. Additionally, their advancements and prizes for existing client continue moving week to week. They don't stop here. Betway incorporates probably the most exciting gambling club games, and they offer top quality rewards and store strategies which suits you. 2-Guts The guts site is reasonable for live wagering. Guts begin working in 2013, and it was at first planned towards gambling club and gaming. In any case, inside a year they propelled their online sportsbook for clients. Guts sportsbook was fundamentally about football. Yet, presently they are offering a lot of significant games like football, tennis and cricket. You can guarantee their welcome reward by experiencing the prize area, and you can likewise recover your cash a sportsbook reward. 3-Ladbrokes Ladbrokes is one of the notable high road name from British wagering history. They began their tasks in 18 century and their organizer Harry Ogden is perceived at the UK's first expert bookmaker. They began their web based wagering in 2000. You can get extraordinary North America sports inclusion alongside everything from Aussies Rules to Chess, Golf, MMA, Volleyball and pretty much everything in the middle of, just as pony dashing. 4-Moplay Moplay is an online bookmaker which is concentrating on the portable parts of betting. Moplay started working in 2018. Pre-organize markets were in abundance additionally in examining around at different games like football, tennis and cricket. They do offer moment money out on sure decisions. 5-Boylesports Boylesports is one of the solid free bookmaker brand subsidized in 1989 in Ireland. They have a major web business just as web based wagering administration. The edge is to some degree higher on soccer, around 6% yet the rest of the sportsbook is trading with a great deal of lower betting edge, particularly tennis which is essentially roughly 3.1%. 6-Sportingbet Sportingbet started working in 1998. They have presented their administrations across 26 nations around the world. Sportingbet is clear in working since they are offering straight forward wagering administration for their clients. 7-Fortuna It is an online bookmaker that underpins client showcase from India. This bookmaker permits secure route framework for better client experience for its clients. This site is an enrolled one, so it is ok for bettors to play their chances helpfully. They offer an assortment of choices like live wagering, club games betting and chances wagering. In any case, the new clients are given with 100% reward on making their first store. 8-William Hill It is a notable brand far and wide. William slope was established in 1934. They have a fabulous inclusion of live football matches and different games. Their bet slip is splendid as well, allowing you full usefulness in controlling your wagering alternatives. You can make installment and withdrawal through various techniques. 9-Betvictor Betvictor began its capacities during the 1940s. Through quality organizations, they have grown an enormous nearness in the online business. Betvictor isn't constrained to sports wagering, and they are likewise running some non-sports markets. They have entirely broad sportsbook which incorporates rugby, snooker, volleyball, cricket and darts. 10-22bet 22bet was set up in2017. Their sportsbook is an incredible fascination towards clients. Football, cricket, golf and tennis are the principle zones to take a gander at. 22bet is exceptionally liberal when discussing welcome rewards. Their clients must be 18+ to enroll themselves. 11-Paddy Power Paddy Power is one of the most famous brands which is perceived all around the globe. They began their administrations in 1988 when three Irish bookmakers met up. There is a gigantic mean acknowledge in the Paddy Power sportsbook. 12-Unibet Unibet is one of the well known brands in Europe and India. It was established in 1997. Their sportsbook spread tennis, football, b-ball just as chess, futsal, floor ball, bandy and surfing. They likewise offer a cash back reward for new clients. They offer a gigantic scope of wagering markets. Unibet is probably the most seasoned game bookmaker around the world, set up in 1997, serving a large number of web based wagering account holders. It is notable all over Europe for its superb games wagering, online gambling club and poker stages. 13-Betfred Betfred is a British bookmaker. They offer their administrations for India also. Betting power licenses them. The Betfred Empire starts working in 1967. They are offering a noteworthy edge on football wagering. You can either utilize their versatile application or site to make the most of their administrations. 14-888sport It is an European based wagering stage which acknowledges the clients of India also. It is one of the perceived brands in odd markets. They are covering numerous games like rugby, soccer, cricket, tennis, horse dashing golf, boxing cycling and numerous others. You can make the most of their liberal invite offers. 15-Coral When discussing Indian bookmakers, Coral is among the primary names you can consider. Coral was established during the 1920s, and it is one of the most well known brands when talking about excellent items and offers. They show top European nearby soccer with stunning highlights. Numerous different games have been presented, including football classes. 16-Royal Panda Illustrious Panda is a worldwide stage which is offering their administrations all around India. They are advancing on the web gambling clubs, not the sportsbook. You can utilize their versatile application and site to make the most of their inventive rewards. It is one of the strictest betting locales. They are offering a wide scope of wagering markets. They are covering circuitous 40 games and a lot of classes. 17-Smarkets Smarkets is an online stage which was established by a little gathering of speculator. They are acclaimed for their propelled exchanging stage and 25th quickest developed organization in Europe. Smarkets is exceptionally simple to utilize. They are sans offering wagers for their new clients and welcome rewards. Their essential center is noteworthy games like football tennis, golf, baseball and cricket. 18-Leovegas It gives a gigantic portable wagering experience. Leovegas assumes an indispensable job in Indian wagering site. As we enter the landing page of Leovegas India, the primary thing we see slider is a slider in the focal point of the screen, publicizing for the most well known games and advancements here on Leovegas. Leovegas offers a clean and userfriendly stage. 19-10cric As an ever increasing number of wagering locales are beginning to focus on the imperative Indian market, it is turning into somewhat hard for players to choose which spot is most appropriate for them. One of the most common issues is by all accounts how to get to these sites 20-Bet365 Bet365 is celebrated for being one of the greatest and best-wagering locales on the planet. Be that as it may, what makes Bet365 great? That response to this inquiry is that Bet365 has taken the internet wagering industry to an uncommon new level. They give the best betting involvement with all territories. They have the most gigantic assortment of gambling club games and sports wagering. They offer the best portable wagering experience, the best reward on wagering and simply the most amazing live betting experience generally. Be that as it may, the point which makes Bet365 the world's greatest wagering site is the notoriety for unwavering quality that they have worked for themselves in years. Bet365 is a wagering site you can trust. They generally pay what they owe, and they put incredible significance on their notoriety is the thing that makes Bet365 a genuinely extraordinary bookmaker. 21-Sportsbet.io Sportsbet.io is a worldwide games wagering organization that was established by individuals with an energy for sports. When you enter the site of Sportsbet.io, you get the inclination that this whole site is committed to sports wagering. It doesn't have the equivalent lavish impression that you jump on an old wagering site like Unibet or Betway. It's more Spartan and old school. Then again, this isn't really an awful thing. They don't attempt to push ads or advancements at all of you an opportunity to achieve client's consideration. It's an entirely reliable spot for individuals who simply need to put down wagers and not need to stress over something over the top. 22-Bodog Bodog is an old wagering bookmaker really among the most seasoned on the planet which has as of late opened up and began tolerating Indians players. They have set up the procedure of the wagering site principally to serve bettors from India, where they endeavor an assortment of live cricket wagering alternatives, give helpful choices of storing cash and permit Indian money. On the off chance that you appreciate sports wagering and club games or poker sitting, at that point you will in all likelihood appreciate Bodog India. Bodog begins from Europe, yet it has an Indian site that is customized to suit the flavor of Indian players. Consequently it is of nothing unexpected to discover that the Bodog India Sports wagering is wealthy in cricket wagering. The sportsbook incorporates all the noteworthy universal cricket competitions and arrangement, just as the well known classes like the Indian Premier League and the huge slam group Australia. 23-1XBET 1XBET Bookmaker is a youthful and quickly developing wagering site. Established in 2007, earlier it worked distinctly in the region, with more than 1,000 wagering bookmakers in Russia, and later started the experience in the online market. 1XBET is viewed as the main global bookmaker, in India the genuine speculators know it for quite a while in light of the fact that he underpins Indian rupee (INR) and has a Hindi language Version. 1XBET is mainstream for Indian expert punters, yet before long will be known in each edge of India, for the straightforward reasons that its installments segment is adjustable. So you can pick INDIA (from the rundown of nations) and see the techniques for stores and pulls back are accessible, obviously, don't missing Neteller and skrill all simple and clear. 24-BET WINNER On the off chance that you are searching for a bookmaker that gives the best chances on the most famous games, the Betwinner might be the wagering site you are searching for. Wager victor is a moderately new wagering site, however they have just become famous as the spot to be with regards to finding the best chances. Wager victor is a moderately ongoing theorist that start its tasks in 2016 in the wake of accomplishing an administration permit from (Curaçao eGaming) for working on the web. Betb2b.com fabricated this site, and it is a similar program that is adding to 1xBET (acclaimed administrator of Russia) since 2007. 25-COME ON Regardless of whether it is their online club activity or their games extend, COMEON India perseveres freely from others, through their broad inclusion and activities. They spread 29 classes of sports and offer a few other elective markets. This sportsbook underpins practically all standard installment designs and gives an incredible reward to new clients. When you join as a part, you get an invite reward, and you can pick the alternative for the prize that you like. You can store cash once you sign in to your record by essentially tapping on the decision of store. ComeOn India offers the accompanying choices to store your cash MasterCard Visa Card Paysafe Card Skrill Neteller MuchBetter and the sky is the limit from there 26-Pinnacle This is something we appreciate prescribe when you are simply beginning on another game. Start by playing for no particular reason, and once you've seen that you can bring in cash at this game, at that point toss in some genuine and unique rupees. Genuine wagering is a zenith with brilliant highlights and extraordinary advancements At Pinnacle, we know about definitely what Indian players search for in an amazing on the web gambling club. That is the reason we've accumulated a breathtaking mix of the most reliable online gambling club clubs around. Additionally, determinations of incredible table games don't stop there and make your life agreeable and simple we likewise offer a colossal assortment of store strategies for Indians gambling club players. 27-MELBet Our consideration is currently redirected to the focal point of the screen where we see an advancement slider. It is where Unibet features all the present advancements that they are running. They are very brave advancements going on, which we will investigate later. One thing we notice is that all the costs are named in euros. Beside the live wagering segment, we notice a catch named "supertoto'", and we choose to look at it. It ends up being another uncommon capacity, which is truly remarkable when contrasted with Unibet. Supertoto is a basic method to put down a wager on sports. The objective is to wagered on the result of whatever number matches as could be expected under the circumstances. You can wager on a success, lose or draw. 28-Matchbook Matchbook offers a total sportsbook with in excess of 40 distinct games classifications to bet on, including cricket, football, tennis, horse dashing and practically all the famous games, just as e-sports, expert wrestling and different less normal games. You have a decision of live wagering on each live match that is occurring right now, and numerous competitions can even be live-spilled with liberated from cost office. The main standard is that you include put down a wager inside the most recent 24 hours. That gives you full access to the live spilling capacity. 29-Betfair Betfair is one of the world's biggest global online games wagering specialist co-ops. Betfair has more than 2,000 utilizes around the world. Betfair holds betting permit in Malta, Gibraltar Italy, Tasmania and the United States. Betfair is promising in conveying exclusive expectations of respectability and has ensured more than 40 Memoranda of Understanding with the administering groups of sports. Betfair is the most significant wagering bookmaker on the planet, offering a wide scope of wagering items including exotics wagering markets and extraordinary games, huge poker networks, arcade games and a gambling club. 30-Dafabet Something that make Dafabet one of a kind is that they were made to serve the Asian market. All things considered, we can see that they are doing a great deal to interest Asian players, and particularly Indian players. For instance, we realize that they acknowledge Indian cash stores. They additionally offer loads of well known Indian games, for example, cricket, tennis and kabaddi. As an Indian player, it is pleasant to feel like you are esteemed as a client. There is likewise a lot of European games and well known Asian games and gambling club games accessible. 31-Rizk It is an energizing and one of a kind internet betting webpage having a place with the European island naming Malta. The site is special it might be said that it depends on a superhuman topic which is an uncommon thing we have seen on some other wagering site previously. This current bookmaker's appeal is a hero naming Captain Rizk, and his topic can be discovered everywhere throughout the site. 32-Meridian BET Meridian Bet is a main worldwide supplier of on the web and land-based games wagering arrangements with 700+ wagering shops in 35 nations around four landmasses? Their most noteworthy accomplishment is the steady income development pace of 20% over the most recent three years. They likewise offer an every minute of every day client assistance by means of live talk, telephone, email or informal community. 33-SBOBET Inside an incredibly solemn methodology towards security and visitor administration, SBOBET is a main web based gaming brand. They have won the Asian Operator of the year grant for 2009-10. SBOBET offers you a quick and secure player condition with prompt winning outcomes, fast installments and simple access to nonstop web based wagering. 34-Winamax This webpage is among the world's biggest online poker rooms and sports wagering destinations offering phenomenal chances to its players. Its immense number of enlisted genuine cash players has surpassed 3,000,000. This site gives dependable gaming instruments to make poker protected and a good time for the players. 35-5DIMES This site is known to be the highest quality level in internet gaming. It offers on the web and via telephone wagers for open parlays. Owning the business for over 15 years adds to unwavering quality. This site gives the player's cashback rewards, diminished juice wagers, free play remunerates and significantly more. 36-ADJARABET Situated in Georgia, this organization is the main site in the nation. Players can play gambling club games on the web or entertain themselves with sports wagering at this bookmaker website. 37-Planetwin365 Planetwin365 is Europe's quickest developing wagering and gaming administrators. This site is working with a large number of subsidiary accomplices over the world. More than one million wagers are handled day by day, and it additionally supplies in excess of 1300 retail outlets. The brand planetwin 365 is claimed by the SKS365 gathering of organizations which holds online licenses alongside land-based licenses from seven nations in Europe. 38-Red Sport Red game is a worldwide games betting organization. It started to include in sports sponsorship in 2010. This organization is among the first non-US online games wagering organizations working in the United States. It is additionally an individual from ESSA, which is the European wagering uprightness body. 39-Cloud wager Cloud wager directs the wagering business through a chain of authorized shops that are situated in Ireland and the UK. It offers online games wagering, online club and poker, online bingo and numerous other web based games. 40-POKER SPORTS Once in the past known as Party Bets, is presently possessed by one of the biggest poker locales on the net, Party Poker. Authorized from both Gibraltar and UK, the site offers a wide scope of sports and great client care. To stall out in, the site gives a broad scope of games. Customers are very much provided food for, and every single significant game occasions are secured. Football is the most mainstream and secured sport by a wide margin, as the site is an European confronting bookmaker. 41-SPORTSPESA Sportspesa, a games news innovation, was established in 2014, offering web based games and lotteries. It is a games news innovation with around 500 workers and has put resources into the advancement of the nearby games groups and competitions in Tanzania and Kenya. It works in relationship with TGP in the UK. 42-NOVIBET Claimed by Logflex MT constrained, NOVIBET.com is a completely enlisted web based betting site. Playing with Novibet isn't simply fun however is sheltered and secure on the grounds that it holds licenses from MGA, which make the site obliged to keep all customers assets in trust accounts. The site offers a dependable gaming strategy and is focused on limiting the unfavorable impacts of issue betting and is resolved to advance positive betting practices. 43-BETPAWA Offering different sorts of bettings on numerous games from over the world, BETPAWA is the most present day and quick wagering site in Zambia. This site is a creative bookmaker that offers the most reduced value wagers. It leads a wide assortment of pre-coordinate and in-play wagers on football alongside different games like b-ball, tennis and so on. You can choose from an immense scope of wagers on the site and can likewise decide on live wagering. 44-MISLI As a piece of Fold gadgets gaming and distributing, MISLI was established in 2009. This site is situated in Istanbul. MISLI is a participation based site which offers online games wagering and lotteries. This site offers wagers on an assortment of games, particularly supporting soccer. It likewise gives the clients to play the national lottery. This site as of now utilizes 36 innovations. MISLI.com has been positioned 12,027 among the worldwide sites dependent on the huge number of its month to month guests surpassing 4,115,485. 45-Sky BET Sky wagering and gaming, a British based Canadian organization, has offered a wagering division as Sky Bet. It possesses 1,628 representatives and is evaluated sixth among the ten highest contenders. This organization is the world's driving internet gaming and wagering organization which has the most noteworthy number of clients than any other person. Lion's share of the tasks of Sky Bet are led from Leeds. They offer to wager through their site, phone or portable applications and so forth. AGCC licenses the organization. Sky Bet likewise had a TV channel on Sky Channel 864 which quit working on February 2012. 46-Bet SAFE With regards to online club and wagering, and Bet Safe is a rumored name. This website is a bookmaker and online gambling club which was established in 2006 and is possessed by a notable Swedish organization. 400 fifty thousand clients profit the ideas from 100 distinct nations around the globe. The dependability and unwavering quality of the site are apparent by the tremendous number of clients it possesses. Wager Safe is an easy to understand site offering an enormous assortment of games and items. It gives an astounding client assistance program and its simple to store and pull back cash. This site gives its clients the best web based gaming experience. 47-1xBit This site offer betting stage for Bitcoin and digital money was established in 2016. Wagers are offered day by day more than 1000 games. Live online club games and in excess of 3000 openings are likewise accessible. A selective element is that it gives its games too. All client accounts bolster numerous monetary forms, and it empowers the players to wager utilizing in excess of ten cryptographic forms of money. Clients are additionally offered an assortment of rewards. A 100% first store reward is the most extreme preferred position. A bug assists with multiplying and right away pull back the main store reserves. Client's perspectives recommend that their client care is dependable and accommodating. It is being seen as the best reserving site for crypto. It offers high chances to the players when contrasted with comparable sportsbooks. 48-Mozzart BET Since 2000, Mozzart has been a specific piece of the gaming business. This organization offers around 10,000 chances day by day for around 500 games. As of late, Mozzart has led its ground activity with more than 900 retailer shops and has seen a high development rate in its online administrations. One ought to be over 18 to wager on the site Mozzartbet.com. BCLB has given the permit to the site. Live wagering on games is offered including football, ball, tennis and other critical occasions. You can observe live spilling of your preferred round and put down online wagers. 49-Boyle SPORT Ireland biggest and free bookmaker is known as BoyleSports. They contribute in the online space by adding the top of the line applications to the google play store which offer web based wagering, club, gaming, wagering and lottery administrations. By 2004, they had 77 shops, and in 2006 they opened their 100th store. 50-BetChris In 2019, BetChris declared to enter the United Kingdom retail advertise with the popular bookmaker Gilbert. The organization's activity was extended in Northern Ireland which made the nation Ireland's biggest retail bookmaker.
The UK General Election 2019. All you need to know. Plus, a great betting opportunity guide as a bonus. The need for the election was obvious, given the Brexit impasse in the parliament, that was unable to deliver Brexit for more than 3 years, sabotaging the will of the people. Having a Remainer prime minister without the real majority did not help the cause either. Now, with new Brexiteer prime minister Boris Johnson at the helm, and the ERG-the European Research Group, the eurosceptic parliamentary fraction within the Conservative party, the country has got a chance to see some real action. Yet, we saw the parliament going to great lengths to sabotage the new government, ranging from using the powers of a scandalously biased speaker- John Bercow, to prevent voting from happening to using the newly created supreme court, who’s politically motivated decision undermined the government and the Brexit proceedings. Getting to the election was a massive struggle in itself with the opposition blocking the motion to call for an election, which Implies the oppositions grim outlook on its electoral prospects. Now, with less than 8 days to go, let's have a look at the election scene the way I see it. So, the Tories are leading in the polls, entering this election as a ruling party, with some recent success in the Brexit talks, a charismatic energetic leader, and a clear Brexit position, which is now declared to be the hard Brexit, with a proper trade deal afterwards. The, who wins this election will decide not only the manner of leaving the EU but also the future relationship with the Block. Brexit seems to be the key focus issue of the Tories in this election, and they are trying to steer all the debate into this channel. There is a grain of salt in there for Boris, however, as he promised to take the country out of the EU by 31st of October, and, as we can see, he did not. Not his fault though, but, a good aim for criticism for the competitors. There are some spending promises from Tories too, for NHS In particular, which seems to have become the sacred cow of UK politics. Boris Jonson himself is both an asset and a liability in the increasingly «presidential» in style UK elections. He is vocal and charismatic, bold and aggressive. Compared by many to Donald Trump in both the political style and in the way he looks. Some might remember him as a liberal mayor of London, for others, especially the young swing voters, his Brexit stance and his style might be a massive put off. On the bright side, one of the highlights of the last debate was Boris’s clear position on Scottish independence. He said that the Union is more important than Brexit and than anything else, which is appealing to the part of the electorate that values the Union, which, let's be honest, is a majority, even in Scotland. Seats before current parliament dissolution: 298 Labor, in contrast, is entering the election mired In the antisemitism scandal, with Jeremy Corbyn as a leader and an unclear Brexit position. Corbyn, being a geriatric incoherent Marxist, who miraculously managed to become the Labor leader is a massive scarecrow for swing voters of all stripes. The last election momentum surge, that deprived the Conservatives of their majority was largely due to the voter’s delusion of Labor being a Ramain party. That advantage is gone, with labor spending all 3 years of Brexit struggle sitting on a fence, calling it “constructive ambiguity” and now, becoming a second referendum party. Labor wants to renegotiate Boris Jonson's deal and then put the result to another public vote, with the Remain as a second option. Unsurprisingly, Labor talks mainly about the “starved” public services, the river of cash for the NHS, the free broadband for everyone, in addition to their plans to nationalize Water, Rail, and Electricity. More free stuff for everyone paid for by the money form the magic money tree, which is how Labor sees the government borrowing and taxation. Should labor get in power, having half their plan done is certain to put the country on the brink of insolvency. They call that ending the austerity, which turns out to be a maximum affordable level of spending when put under scrutiny. The fact that the public services used to get more funding in the pre-crisis Labor era simply means that the latter tend to spend beyond the means. Another cornerstone of labor criticism of the Conservative opponents is the trade deal with the US which might be struck, should Brexit go as planned by the current government. Labor screams about the dreaded chlorinated chicken, lower labor protection and the sacred cow-the NHS being up for sale for the US health providers. For that, it is only fair to repeat Jonson’s joke, that the only chlorinated chicken here is Jeremy Corbyn himself. Seats before current parliament dissolution: 243 Lib Dems gamble on being a Remain party, with the policy to cancel Brexit seems to have backfired, with such pandering being perceived as unconstitutional and undemocratic by most of the people. Also, fake grotesque confidence exhibited by its newly elected leader, styling herself to the next Prime Minister which is almost impossible, has turned voters away. The third mistake was remaining fiscally conservative, as it was expected for the Tories to go on a spending spree, so the Lib Dems wanted to appeal to the Tory voters, who are disappointed with the so-called current conservative's swing to the right, but who can’t vote labor. Having a female leader- a fresh face that is not mired in the “dirt” of the coalition years might help, yet, I don’t see the Lib Dems as a formidable contender. Seats before current parliament dissolution: 20 SNP- the Scottish independence party is interesting to watch with the independence talk being reinvigorated by Brexit, with not only the majority of Scotts voting Remain in the Brexit referendum, but also, previously, many voted to stay in the UK during the Scottish independence referendum, because of the UK’s membership in the EU. Now, with the UK set to leave the EU, SNP is making the case for another independence referendum, arguing that the post-Brexit UK would be such a different country, that another referendum is needed. Seats before current parliament dissolution: 35 The other parties are most likely to keep their insignificant number of seats and are largely irrelevant for this analysis. Independent MP’s: 24, DUP:10, Others:22. The total number of seats in the house of commons:650. There is another interesting element of this election: the Brexit Party. A newly formed party starring in the latest EU parliamentary elections, which theoretically were not supposed to take place in the UK due to Brexit, humiliating Britain with its inability to get the job done. The party is Nigel Farage’s child, who is arguably the most notorious and well-spoken Brexiteer, who advocated for the UK leaving the EU for the last 20 years. The party was meant to be a boogieman for the Tories, pushing the latter further south on the scale of the Brexit hardness, threatening to steal the leave voters from the tories around the country. The Brexit party's current position exposes the inadequacies of the UK’s current electoral system. The first-past-the-post (FPTP) system, where single MPs are picked per constituency on a non-proportional basis, means that smaller parties have virtually no chance of getting any representation in the parliament, ensuring the two main party’s lead position. UKIP- the UK independence party, a former Nigel Farage’s project is a perfect example of the inflexibility of the FPTP system, with the UKIP polling in 7-12 percent at times, yet failing to get a single MP in the commons for years. Voters might like your agenda, yet people vote for the party that has got chances of being in power at the end of the day. In other words, it is theoretically possible for the party to get 30% of the popular vote, but with it being distributed evenly among the constituencies, the party gets ZERO representatives in the parliament. The recent study shows that nearly 14 million voters are living in constituencies that have been held by the same political party since at least the second world war, with some not having changed hands for more than a hundred years. The Brexit party’s power, while having no chance of getting a single MP, is in that it could steal some voters from the Conservatives in each constituency, delivering victory to the Labor. That is how it was supposed to work. This position might have shifted the Conservatives position, so the plan worked. Now, however, with the Tories being the only ones, who can deliver any Brexit at all, Nigel Farage said they are not targeting Conservative seats. The same complication haunts the Lib Dems, with the Conservatives saying: vote Lib Dem-get Corbyn in power. And that is a reasonable claim. This election is going to be about who you hate least, not the who you like most one for sure. With no one having made a single major gaff yet, the campaigns have been quite dry and boring, the debates were toothless and uneventful. Taking this into account, with just a week left to go, the polls and the common sense suggest a high chance of the Conservative majority, with the bookmakers supporting this view with 2/5 odds on this scenario vs 6/1 on the Labor Minority being a second likeliest one. Labor Minority, which Implies that Labor takes more seats than the Conservatives, yet less than needed for the majority, is wildly unlikely, due to the fact that Lib Dems are mostly targeting Labor seats. SNP might gain in Scotland, taking seats from both labor and Conservatives. So Torie seats are largely the only ones, that Labor can be targeting , which will prove to be a hard thing to do, given the current poor state of the labor party. Tories minority government seems to be the second likeliest option to me with the odds around 10/1 making it an excellent betting opportunity. Here is why. If Tories don’t get the majority, labor might indeed try to form a coalition government by promising SNP a second independence referendum and offering Lib Dems a seat at the table and a second Brexit referendum with even softer Brexit option on the table. Labor will need both SNP and Lib Dems to form a coalition, which makes it an unlikely option, given the limited time given to form the government and the difficulty and instability of the Trilateral relationships. The prospects of the coalition are further undermined by the Lib Dem's bad memories from the coalition with Tories. Will they risk another one? Who knows. The unlikelihood of the coalition government is reflected in the 22/1 odds, making it a formidable betting option too, because, while being less likely than the Conservative Majority/Minority government it is still possible given how volatile politics has become. Common sense suggests that the Tories majority is the best scenario for the UK now, as this option provides certainty with regards to Brexit, makes the US trade deal possible, and keeps the Union intact by denying the SNP their second referendum, which is an insane endeavor, to begin with. Not least because they had one already. And such votes are supposed to be a once in a generation thing at best. You can't just throw in an independence vote now and then for a laugh. Also, we can trust the Conservatives to be fiscally responsible, which will help the country prepare for both the possible global crisis and the headwinds of the first post-Brexit years. On a side note, Brexit and all the other issues that the UK faced in the last 5 years exposed an outdated political system unfit for the 21st century. The need for the electoral reform, giving more power to smaller parties while also allowing for the new ideas to come onto the political scene, forcing major parties to adopt, is clear as day. There is a need for a written constitution too, now that the UK has got a supreme court, which was able to overturn the decisions of the government recently while being unelected and unlimited in the scope and direction of its decisions by a written constitution. Finally, a radical decentralization is crucial to keep the Union, or one, and also to allow for the county to be run more efficiently, whereas now almost all the power rests in London. The end. Please, like, comment and subscribe.
CMV: The betting markets are better source of prediction about up coming current affairs events than news media.
I consider just looking to see what the betting markets say will happen on an issue to be a far more reliable than reading the news, or following a pundit, no matter how "honest" you think they are. To define "what the betting markets say will happen", I mean the implied probability of the market price on the betting markets. So if you're looking at the "X will beat Y" market, and it's 10/5, the betting markets says X wins 33% of the time. Of course, they're building in a little profit there, so it's off, and sometimes bookies want to balance their books so offer very unfavorable prices. But they never (excluding sign up deals, and so on, but I'm not talking about that) offer a bet that doesn't show a positive expectation in their estimation. I also look at the inverse of the bet to see if there's space between them, and there always is, but not on a scale that matters. "Y beats X" might be at 62%, and "X beats Y" might be at 33%, and that leaves a little gap, but that's good enough for me - I can walk around thinking "About 2/3rds of the time". But why trust the betting markets? Because they come to that price after an enormous amount of deliberation, because there's actual money on the line. Not only that, but the very existence of a bookmaker with a long history shows that they're actually profitably deliberating. They have two pressures on them. "Make sure it's profitable for us", and "Make sure it's more favorable than our competitors". Those two pressures in opposite directions squash the market price towards professional bookmaker's best guess, with just a little slither of profit for them on top. So why do I consider that better than the newsmakers best guess? Because they're doing none of those things, and barely experience the "get it right" pressure that bookies do. Sure, it's better to be right than wrong, but barely if you're a pundit. If you're just wrong again and again, that's going to catch up a bit, but really, nobody is paying that much attention. Getting it wrong for a pundit comes with maybe some ridicule on twitter, whereas getting it wrong for bookmakers means potentially millions of instant real money loses. Their financial incentive is to get people through the door today. That means that they'll report an election which is pretty much already settled as "really close", and so on. Also, the bookmakers express a probability, whereas the newsmakers express things broadly in three settings. "This ain't happening", "this might happen", or "This is totally happening". That's just not really accurate enough, or nuanced enough. A 1% chance is nothing like a 15% chance, but both of them tend to get reported as "Ain't happening". Caveats:
Obviously this only applies when there's at least a market for the bet. I don't mean "in general". I just mean on issues that the markets are covering.
This only applies when there's a competitive market for the bet. If there's just one bookmaker, all you can say is that it's "less likely than their odds imply", at most.
Americans have different ways of expressing odds to the UK where I'm at. You do this whole +400 thing, and I don't really know what it means. 2/1 means 33%. It means you put up a dollar, and if you win, they give you 3 total (which includes your returned stake).
Obviously the betting markets are "just looking at the news" at root, but I'm talking about doing that as an end retail user of news, even one who does deep dives. The way they "look at the news" is to have insiders, experts, and computer algorithms. A lot more than just me gutting out the BBC News website.
By "news media" and so on, I'm conglomerating them in to a body, like I am with "betting markets" vs "bookmakers". You might know the one guy who's always right, but I don't, so he doesn't work for me, and I just have to read all the papers.
YouGov, Ashcroft Polls and Bookmakers General Election predictions for constituencies in Bristol and Surrounding Areas
Seat
Current
YouGov
Ashcroft
Bookmakers
Bath
Con
Lib Dem
Con
Con
Bristol East
Lab
Lab
Lab
Con
Bristol North West
Con
Lab
Con
Con
Bristol South
Lab
Lab
Lab
Lab
Bristol West
Lab
Lab
Lab
Lab
Filton & Bradley Stoke
Con
Con
Con
Con
Kingswood
Con
Con
Con
Con
North East Somerset
Con
Con
Con
Con
North Somerset
Con
Con
Con
Con
Thornbury & Yate
Con
Con
Con
Con
Weston-Super-Mare
Con
Con
Con
Con
Some notes: I set this up to test some gambling theory I had and to try some data mining for an idea at work. I thought it may be of interest here. For what it is worth Labour in Bristol East at about Evens (double your stake) is the only bet worth placing. These are models not polls, Methodology can be found: YouGov:https://yougov.co.uk/news/2017/05/31/how-yougov-model-2017-general-election-works/ Ashcroft:http://lordashcroftpolls.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/06/Ashcroft-Model-Methodology-Note.pdf (all three assumptions returned identical winners) Bookmakers: Best odds on Oddschecker.com as of 06/06/17 16:18pm Columns in bold are those that have any difference between the four columns.
Against Liberal (democratic) Capitalism: The Revolt of the Ignored
A specter is haunting Europe – the specter of Nationalism. Historians and pundits have touted the Fall of the Berlin Wall as the birth pang of a new Global Civilization, one organized as a supra-national system of Liberal (democratic) Capitalism. Some theorists claim this system is an emergent property of human nature and will be the inevitable culmination of history. This view ignores all of that aerial bombardment of great cities and Third World villages, and the threat of ever-greater bombs, that were the expedient means used to bring the opposition to Capitalism into submission. That aside, is it not wonderful that we all now enjoy the freedom to be Capitalists? Drive well for Uber and prosper. However, there is a dilemma: This Global Civilization will quickly destroy Life on a Small Planet. A few entrepreneurs understand this and are planning a departure for Mars and the asteroid belt, but the rest of Our Ownership are in varying states of denial of this scientific certainty. Let us build summer camps for them atop the Arctic Sea Ice, where they might receive reeducation, with an emphasis on the laws of thermodynamics. The only chance we have of slowing this ongoing Eco-Catastrophe is to disrupt this Global System, and while the farthest fringes of the Left understand this, the rest them have become worse than useless for that cause. As an example, Jill Stein, the current head of the Green Party of the USA, was a participant in a must-see documentary on the looming threat of human extinction, The Cross of the Moment. In the US elections of 2012, she and her Green Party received fewer than half a million votes, about a quarter of a percent of the electorate. I will be voting for her this November – nothing to gain, what else to lose. If our democracies are useless, that is by design. To protect themselves against ‘the tyranny of the majority’, Our Ownership builds in safeguards against the popular will, an intricate complex of restraints and ruses. Sheldon Wolin has termed this as a ‘managed democracy’, even as ‘inverted totalitarianism’. This is a system to transform citizens with rights into consumers with needs.
In the Science of Civilizations, Brexit Is the European Union’s Reckoning “One of the biggest problems is even though the EU seems democratic, the government is not democratically elected by the people of Europe, and therefore not directly responsive to the population,” says Turchin.
http://www.wired.com/2016/06/science-brexit-european-unions-reckoning/ Recently, the Management of Democracy has suffered a series of notable failures, the latest coming when the (barely) United Kingdom voted in favor of leaving the European Union. The horror, the horror – live on television, as the vote totals mounted, most of the talking heads bore the expressions that they repress when reporting acts of mass terrorism. Was it a dread of financial turmoil? No, they must know that the Global Economy is already ‘struggling’, with investments so overvalued that most any shock could prompt a precipitous collapse, with derivatives tumbling like dominoes. No, what truly terrified them was the revolt of the English working class – those uneducated, xenophobic, economic losers that they have been able to manipulate or ignore for decades. Nationalism rears its head and Our Ownership screams. Cue a notable Harvard and IMF economist:
Britain’s Democratic Failure The idea that somehow any decision reached anytime by majority rule is necessarily “democratic” is a perversion of the term. Modern democracies have evolved systems of checks and balances to protect the interests of minorities and to avoid making uninformed decisions with catastrophic consequences. The greater and more lasting the decision, the higher the hurdles.
https://www.project-syndicate.org/commentary/brexit-democratic-failure-for-uk-by-kenneth-rogoff-2016-06 The other great failure in democratic management has been Donald Trump’s attainment of the Republican nomination for Presidency of the USA. As in the UK, the centrist conservative establishment greatly misjudged their ability to manage Democracy. The twin political pillar of American Capitalism, the Democratic Party, has better appraised the threat of revolt from the masses, and constructed a bulwark of unelected ‘super-delegates’ to block the nomination of any populist insurgent. Elsewhere in Europe, strange political collaborations in elections (the French Conservatives and Socialists against the National Front) or in parliamentary rule (the German Christian Democrats plus Social Democrats) are to allow no path for right-wing populists. Such movements have electoral success only in former Soviet Bloc nations where Liberal (democratic) Capitalism still has shallow roots. All of this begs the question: Whatever happened to the former champions of the working class, the traditional Left? In the USA, the Democratic Party made it a policy to ignore its largely white working class and created a new coalition of ‘enlightened professionals’ and assorted minorities. This chimera has enabled Clinton to prevail over Sanders and his following of ‘people-without-color’. How this coalition was built is recounted in Listen Liberal: Or, Whatever Happened to the Party of the People, the latest book by the bona fide progressive author Thomas Frank. Do listen to his CSPAN Book Television presentation and discussion of the book. This bit of transcription comes from his conclusion, starting around minute 37.
…by abandoning them [the white working class] the Democrats made inevitable the economic desolation we now see out in the countryside of this nation… …that leaves us with a choice this November… intolerance [Trump] versus inequality forever [Clinton]. Look folks, there has got to be a different way.
http://www.c-span.org/video/?406308-1/book-discussion-listen-liberal This book caps Frank’s lengthy attempt to understand why his white working class has consistently voted against its own economic interests. He now understands they do so because their concerns are irrelevant to the American political center, where neoconservative Tweedledum and neoliberal Tweedledee link arms to defend the Global Empire of Liberal (and democratic) Capitalism. The opposition to Brexit was a very similar coalition: educated professionals, Scotland and Ulster, and the descendants of Imperial immigrants. Versus them were English traditionalists and a nativist working class. It was the forces of Globalization against English Nationalism. In the absence of ‘high hurdles’, English Nationalism won the vote. The British bookmakers had offered eighty to one odds against them. Meanwhile, back in the USA, the Truly Privileged and the Minorities are closing ranks to guarantee the election of the neoconservative, neoliberal Madame Secretary Clinton. Be then prepared for new military adventures and increasing inequality, if not forever, then for four to eight more years. The American white working class now has a declining life expectancy, a historical privilege once suffered by the true Native Americans. Instead of sympathy, the pundits write sarcasm:
The incredible crushing despair of the white working class [OP usetriggerexpert] If you're a working-class white American, in other words, it may seem as though you are stuck with a losing hand in a bleak zero-sum game: Minorities are getting richer. The rich are getting richer. They're all doing so at your expense, and it's difficult to imagine things being any different in the future.
Demagogues on the right and the left draw upon our darker angels,” he said, “scapegoating immigrants and Muslims or bankers and business people.”
http://www.mediaite.com/online/romney-swipes-at-political-demagogues-who-scapegoat-muslims-or-bankers/ Yes, pity and protect the poor bankers. Finally, there comes this opinion piece, which was the provocation for me to write this essay. This crap comes from a ‘resident philosopher’ at the Brookings Institute, a Democratic ‘think tank’, who bravely sallies forth against the white working class and in favor of a more manageable democracy.
How voters’ personal suffering overtook reason — and brought us Donald Trump The economic foundations of their way of life were destroyed by the unforgiving logic of globalization, and then by the recession and its scandalously uneven recovery. The blandishments of the digital economy passed them by. Their current rates of alcoholism, life expectancy and suicide are now notorious.
[Pause your reading while he snuffles back his crocodile tears.]
Republicans have been indifferent to them because Republicans revere winners and they are losers. Democrats have been indifferent to them because they are culturally embarrassing (and because many Democrats, too, have had little time for losers). Now they finally command the attention of the country — they have been discovered — which is itself a victory for fairness in America; but a large portion of them have gained this recognition by debasing American politics with a desperate preference for a strongman. It is one of the lowest ironies of this low time.
[But you are not ignoring them now, are you?]
All the way at the other end of the political spectrum from the black aggrieved are the white aggrieved, and they are the ones playing with a terrifying fire. The people who support the white working class have been voting for Bernie Sanders, but the white working class has been voting for Donald Trump. He would be nowhere, and we would not be facing a grave historical crisis, without the enthusiasm of these despairing and deluded millions. It was inevitable that we would not escape the political consequences of our economic dislocations, but those consequences now include the darkest forces of reaction. These downtrodden demand sympathy, and they deserve sympathy, but they do not give sympathy. They kindle, in the myopia of their pain, to racism and nativism and xenophobia and misogyny and homophobia and anti-Semitism.
“All large scale societies go through complex cycles,” says Turchin. “These usually end up in civil war or outside conquest, but sometimes the ruling class can manage to get their act together using the reform route.”
Our Ownership is incapable of reform. The cupboard is fiscally bankrupt and depleted of resources, so there are no bones to toss to the snarling dogs. Listen Leftists! If you lament this outcome, then you must do as Thomas Frank suggests and find another way. Seek some means of reconciliation with that once dear proletariat. Human survival depends on that.
British bookies: Odds are Trump won't finish his term
This is an automatic summary, original reduced by 44%.
British gamblers believe U.S. President Donald Trump is now more likely to leave office before the end of his first term than not, British bookmakers said on Wednesday, after a week of tumult at the White House. On UK betting markets, the odds on Trump failing to see out his four-year term dropped to 5/6 from evens on Betfair, implying a 55 percent chance that he will leave. Betfair was also offering odds of 12/5 percent that Trump would leave office this year, implying a 27 percent chance that he would depart. Fellow bookmaker Ladbrokes said its odds on the president leaving office via impeachment or resignation before the end of his first term had also shortened in the last week to 4/5 after a flurry of bets. 'Barely a day goes by without a Trump scandal, but money talks, and punters are becoming increasingly convinced the president could be impeached sooner rather than later,' Bridge said. UK political betting markets have exploded in recent years, with millions wagered last year ahead of surprising results of Britain's referendum on European Union membership and Trump's election which was the most bet-upon political event ever.
Boris Johnson as new U.K. prime minister? Bookies are already increasing the odds
This is the best tl;dr I could make, original reduced by 34%. (I'm a bot)
After the disappointing showing for the Conservative Party in the U.K. exit poll, bookies are already raising the chances that the flamboyant foreign secretary will emerge as the next British leader after the general election. Irish bookmaker Paddy Power puts his odds for taking over parliament at 7/1, implying a 13% chance he'll replace Theresa May. Before the shocking exit poll Thursday night, his odds were at a longshot 50/1. In the bet on who will become the next Conservative leader after May, Johnson stands at 2/1, or a 33% probability. "As the nation scrambles to come to terms with the exit polls tonight, Paddy Power have priced up who will succeed Theresa May as Conservative Leader. With May under pressure as a result of the potentially disastrous figures hinted at by the exit poll, Boris Johnson is in prime position to follow her," a spokesperson from Paddy Power said in a note. The new odds come after the poll published immediately after the voting stations closed showed the Tories are at risk of losing their parliamentary majority, winning a predicted 314 seats. May essentially called the election to increase her party's advantage in parliament, but with the gamble looking likely to have failed there are already calls for the prime minister to resign. Former Conservative chancellor George Osborne said on ITV the prime minister could have to resign if the poll is accurate.
Summary Source | FAQ | Feedback | Topkeywords: poll#1Conservative#2parliament#3lead#4exit#5 Post found in /worldnews. NOTICE: This thread is for discussing the submission topic. Please do not discuss the concept of the autotldr bot here.
Title: Election Odds Calculation for 5/5/2016 Polling was not always the primary measure of elections. Before the late 1940s, it was gambling and odds, but now betting on the US elections is illegal. However, it's not illegal for UK residents as Ladbrokes (Large UK gambling center) boss Michael Shaddick frequently explains as an expert. I am not sure if anyone has posted the odds lately, So I thought for fun(*), I would post the weekly odds on the Presidental Election and then calculate (convert) so their easier to understand: Edit: Apparently Abc and New York Post stole my thunder while I was typing this. Of course, the numbers changed (see 1). ;) TLDR: AT 5/4/2016 10:14 AM UTC Hillary is up +46.43% points to Donald Trump in odds. But, these are odds not poll numbers. Title: Current Odds for Winner of the US Election Subtitle: Assuming minimum overrounding (honestly don't know bookies usually use) While these calculations are factual, don't place your bets because its illegal to do so if your a US citizen The odds May 5th 2016 (Current? on ladbrokes.com)
Person
Fraction
Prob %
US Odds (£)
Hillary Clinton
1/3
75.00%
-300.03
Donald Trump
5/2
28.57%
+250.00
Bernie Sanders
40/1
02.44%
+4000
Joe Biden
80/1
01.23%
+8000
Min Overrounding
---
04.46%
---
The odds May 4th 2016 (on ladbrokes.com)
Person
Fraction
Prob %
US Odds (£)
Hillary Clinton
4/11
73.34%
-275.03
Donald Trump
9/4
30.77%
+225
Bernie Sanders
40/1
02.44%
+4000
Joe Biden
80/1
01.23%
+8000
Min. Overrounding
---
01.07%
---
The odds August 2015 (using NPR on Aug 26, 2015)
Person
Fraction
Prob. %
US Odds (£)
Hillary Clinton
34/87
71.90%
-255.89
Jeb Bush
7/2
22.22%
+350
Donald Trump
16/1
05.88%
+1600
References: Ladbrokes Odds for US electorial process Footnotes: 1) These not poll numbers or poll number probabilities. These are odds. Typically the odds on display do not represent the true chances (as measured and calculated by the bookmaker) that the event will or will not occur, but are the amount that the bookmaker will pay out on a winning bet, together with the required stake. In another article, NPR about how modern policial odds a WAY less precise than polling because of how fast odds can flucuate. Plus, its illegal for US voter to place a bet on the electon. So don't place your bets 2) These odds aren't up for discussion or opinion (WYSIWYG) because their values are a face value fact. But, I encourage you to share any other booking odds you find or comment about them. If in fact you find other valid booking odds, I may edit this post to include them. :) 3) How I am calculating [overrounding]()? Literally adding up all the numbers and subtracting by 100. Its a natural part of odds because odds fluctuate as people bet and candidates also drop out of the race. Think of it as error, 4) Why am I doing this? I was inspired by an old article on NPR did in August and later Guardian on Oct 31st with the president of Ladbrokes (the largest betting site in the UK). So for fun, I decide let's calculate it. It's not like the odds are technically more accurate then other measures (ex. NPR talks about how modern odds a WAY less precise because of how fast odds flucuate)
Betting on the outright winner of the election is not your only option. You can also place a wager on what the election turnout will be. This is one of the most heated issues in recent British political history, so the turnout is expected to be fairly high. Right now, the only UK bookmakers offering odds on election turnout is Betfred. Here are UK general election odds for the next vote, expected in 2019. Which party will win the most seats? View all election betting markets here! Enjoy the latest promotions & sign up offers from top UK bookmakers, compare odds on football & horse racing and get the latest betting tips. The UK general election betting also offers odds of 9/2 for a Conservative minority after the next general election but that currently appears unlikely compared to a majority. We continue our UK general election betting tips by taking a look at some of the other contenders to win in December. British Politics Betting Odds. View all available outright and match odds, plus get news, tips, free bets and money-back offers. All you need to bet. The most noteworthy politics betting event in the UK was the 2018 Brexit Referendum. Many bookmakers took a deep dive when the unexpected YES vote had a surprising win. The UK Gambling Commission keeps a close eye on all political and election betting in the UK and spots any irregularities rather quickly. Comparing the UK General Election betting odds is what makes political betting actually enjoyable and exciting. The Odds for the UK General Election 2020 . The following is a set of odds on the political parties for the UK General Election 2020. Studying these odds will immensely help you to make an informed choice when making your final ... British punters will once again indulge their passion for a cash wager on their country's political future as bookmakers open up bets on the outcome of the Dec. 12 national election. It's General Election time in the United Kingdom. After a tumultuous few years with Brexit dominating the headlines, how will it all work out? Rory Jiwani takes a look at the best bets to get stuck into over the next few weeks.
