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Intro
I got into Sports betting months after I turned 18. I was introduced to it by my idol twitch streamer who got SPONSORED by Betway(juiced af btw). I mean it seemed cool, it wasn't some degenerate CSGO roulette lottery bs (amirite). This was about skills and predictions, literally the stock market but for sports. I got to into it, started making models, reading articles on e-sports teams, watching YOUTUBE videos and seeing other peoples predictions. This was a fun side hobby and made watching the games that much more fun. $5 here, $10 there, $20 on the LOCK OF THE YEAR etc.
Mindset/ Problem gambing
21 and finally into the workforce. I can't lie, I hated my job (and life really) I accepted very early on that I was never going to be rich. I was born poor and most likely die poor too. On top of that I never had luck with the ladies and with my workplace being 90% male; mix that with a limited social life I was going to die single or have to pay for it. I'm not sure how I got to that point but I genuinely believe this up until a couple of months ago(23). I didn't think life was worth it unless u had money and being middle class wasn't what I was talking about. I'm talking about those who weren't tied down to any real obligations. Those who could do and or go wherever they wanted. Those who were their own boss, those who had a life I could only dream about (the streamers, content creators, youtubers of the world).
I knew very early no matter how much I saved I'd always be poor. Seeing kids driving Lambos, traveling to exotic places; working and living life on their terms, being able to pick up and do whatever they want. This was never going to be my reality. I was destined to the rat race, "another cog in the wheel" like the majority. I wasn't gifted, I had no real talents, I'm not amazingly intelligent, at best I was extremely average (and below average socially). Sure, I could save up and have money but honestly, by then I'd be in my late 30s, early 40s, fuck maybe 50s! and life would've already passed me by. By then I'd be old with a lot of responsibilities or more likely single and miserable. I just didn't see life being worth it as a poomiddle-class man. Life only really seemed worth living if you were in the top 10%. Sports betting seemed like my "only way out". It was the only clear path I could see in making a lot of money in the next couple of years and if I was good enough I could do it, a lot of people have.
The reality is I'd constantly break my "system" because at times I'd get desperate. I'd get home from work sometimes with the mindset. "FUCK I hate my life, I don't want to go into work tomorrow. Please just give me a way out. I'm wasting my life grinding this shit while people are traveling and vlogging their amazing lives. Why God! I want that so bad." I'd want to chase my losses or chase potential winnings. I wanted to make that money now, not some 7% cuck shit in a year. I'd straight up YOLO cause it felt good or felt there's no chance this team would lose. I literally did everything, every betting method possible I've tried it and have seen so many "lock of the century, there's no chance X loses" lose.
Totals
On Pinnacle I'm officially down CAD$37,384.39 over 22 months($22,000 over last 12 months). An estimated ~$10,000 combined on other sportsbooks prior(Betway, Bet365 and "scam bookmaker 1xbet"). So if I had to guess I'm down $45,000-$50,000 over 5 year: 18YO - 23. I did peak at a $40K bankroll from $500 eventually when I had an amazing month ... only to lose it all + more the following month :)
Reflection
Holy fuck... $50,000 I could've traveled the world, saved it for my future, fuck it buy a 2-3 year old nice car, had a downpayment for a small house, etc. Instead, I don't really have anything to show for the last 5 years of my life financially. Obviously, I did learn a lot about myself during this time such as I'm extremely content and satisfied without possessions or material things; I don't need the latest and greatest toys. I mean I literally went 5 years without buying myself anything and I don't feel sad about it. Relationships and experiences are really what matters and give me meaning and is the reason I don't see a reason to bet any more.
Final Thoughts
So, if you're reading me and judging me! go for it! I deserve to be judged and shamed, I was an addict. If there's anyone who can relate or anyone who's struggling with a gambling addiction. I'm not going to tell you to stop, just to reevaluate the reasons for why you're playing. If it's to escape your reality go and seek different perspectives on life. One where materialism and possessions aren't at the key of your happiness.
Rereading this, It's actually insane and I can't believe I let myself do that. Holy fuck... It could've been worse but I'm just happy I can move onto the next chapter of my life. Cheers !

I found this on a computer i just bought from a stock trader in Stockholm, detailed research, perhaps i should short this one.
And for all of you who are concerned - it is all public info, this guy just did the math:

Kambi

Share Price History
On the 8th of June 2014 Kambi closed trading at 35.40SEK. In a period of 6 months the share price rose dramatically from 52.50SEK on the 8th of October 2015 to 152.00SEK on the 17th of April 2016. From July 2016 up until July 2018 the share price was in decline and closed trading on the 23rd of July at 67.50SEK. Throughout 2018 and the beginning of 2019 the price continued to rise and closed on the 28th of October at a price of 250SEK. Since that massive peak the price has been dropping (with some small peaks along the way) and closed on the 1st of September at 165.00SEK.¹
Analysis

• 2016
  • The peak from the beginning of October 2016 was due in part to the agreement between Kambi & Novomatic.²
• 2017
  • In 2017 there was a constant decline in the share price even though deals were reached with 888 holdings³, 7777⁴ and a renewal with LeoVegas⁵, seemingly this was due to the big drop in profits (from 1.8m to 100k€) in Q2 in 2017.⁶
• 2018
  • The ongoing raise between July 2018 and the beginning of 2019 is in part due to deals closed with Draftkings⁷, Global Gaming 555⁸, White hat gaming⁹, Parx¹⁰, and Kindred¹¹.
• 2019
  • On the 21st of July Kambi’s share price was at its lowest in recent times at 130SEK, this seems to be in direct response to the news that DraftKings are looking to drop Kambi¹².
  • Once a renewal was achieved with DraftKings¹³ the share price jumped up to 167SEK.

1 https://kambi.com/investors/share-information#958649297-2241684852
2 https://www.reuters.com/article/idINL8N1CP0IG
3 https://kambi.com/888-holdings-plc-selects-kambi-kambi-group-plc
4 https://www.kambi.com/kambi-group-plc-signs-sportsbook-deal-bulgarias-national-lottery-ad
5 https://calvinayre.com/2017/10/27/press-releases/kambi-leovegas-agree-long-term-contract-extension/
6 https://calvinayre.com/2017/07/26/business/kambi-sports-solutions-revenue-rises-profit-plunges/
7 https://www.kambi.com/kambi-group-plc-enters-sportsbook-agreement-draftkings
8 https://www.kambi.com/kambi-group-plc-signs-sportsbook-deal-global-gaming-555
9 https://www.kambi.com/kambi-group-plc-agrees-commercial-partnership-white-hat-gaming
10 https://kambi.com/kambi-group-plc-signs-sportsbook-deal-parx-casino-owner-greenwood-gaming-andentertainment-inc-0
11 https://www.kindredgroup.com/media/press-releases/2018/kindred-selects-kambi-for-nj-sports-bettingplatform/
12 https://www.gamblinginsider.com/news/7467/kambi-share-price-falls-following-draftkings-sbtech-reports
13 https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2019/08/22/1905221/0/en/Kambi-Group-plc-signs-contractextension-with-DraftKings.html
Summary
The share price has grown in the past 5 years 466% (35.40SEK – 165SEK) which is a large profit for original investors.
Based on the history of the past 5 years, Kambi’s share price is volatile and fluctuates based on deals with large clients and PR. Even mere news about signing or losing a client sends the price to move dramatically.
Public Projection
In recent publications and reviews Kambi Group Plc stocks are predicted to continue to raise in the coming years and are considered a reasonable safe investment¹⁴.

Our Investigation

Customers leaving

• ​

1. Kambi’s deal with Novomatic up to date is entirely functional and they haven’t signed any deals as a conjoined team, leading to believe that the peak in share price in 2016 was unfulfilled and incorrect.

• 2. Luckia left Kambi back in 2016, quoting ‘the new platform will provide a range of benefits to Luckia, including greater operational flexibility and improved price differentiation. It will also enable the operator to offer unique odds, set its own betting limits and payouts, customise content and marketing, and manage its sportsbook liability in real time¹⁵.
• 3. 888 Holdings in early 2019 purchased BetBright with a very clear vision of leaving Kambi and very recently announced that they will be in the near future using their own sportsbook.¹⁶
• 4. Draftkings are looking to close to deal in buying out SBTech which would point to them dropping Kambi, this is despite them renewing a deal with Kambi¹⁷.
• 5. Inside reports from a reliable source in R Franco have told our research team that they are in the process of leaving Kambi and signing with another major supplier.

14 https://finance.yahoo.com/news/kambi-groups-sto-kambi-169-043231121.html
15 https://www.gamingintelligence.com/business/40810-spain-s-luckia-drops-kambi-platform-in-favour-of-sbtech
16 https://www.sbcnews.co.uk/features/2019/08/20/888-guy-cohen-purchases-paspa-poke
https://www.marketscreener.com/888-HOLDINGS-PUBLIC-LIMIT-4005509/news/888-Public-H1-2019-Financial-Results-29182341/
17 linkedincom/pulse/grove-report-94-survey-says-chris-grove/
​
Negative Press

1. Kindred powered by Kambi have been placed on the blacklist in Switzerland¹⁸, pointing to illegal activity (Kindred are in deeply linked with Kambi - Kambi is B2B subsidiary of UniBet which is the original name of Kindred)¹⁹

Summary
Looking at the final Quarter of 2019 and the beginning of 2020 the future doesn’t look bright for Kambi. Two of their biggest genuine clients (ignoring their spinoff Unibet) - DraftKings & 888 Holdings are poised to quit, and add to the mix our reports that R Franco are looking to leave Kambi. These moves indicate that Kambi are a product big customers’ are afraid to rely on. In addition we see in other news that that they aren’t as squeaky clean as they proclaim they are.
Since Kambi is a company which its value is solely based on PR and clients, we strongly believe based on our extensive research, contrary to popular belief Kambi’s value is going to drop and its share price will be trading below 100SEK in the near future and continue to drop. If they lose Draftkings and 888 Holdings they will struggle to recover, as Draftkings is their main ticket into the United States.
Advice
Based on the analysis and predictions, our advice to our in-house brokers and advisors is to recommend selling Kambi shares and not to purchase. On the bright side, long term investors have earned tremendously from recent growth.
18 https://www.casinonewsdaily.com/2019/09/04/bet365-unibet-and-1xbet-domains-blacklisted-in-switzerland/
19 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kindred_Group

11 WIN - 5 LOST / last won @ 1.92 /@ 2.28 / @ 1.41 / Average odds 2.19
ROI: 53.00% !!
Net units: +8.48 u
every bet 1 u
eSport |LOL - China League | League Of Legends| 09:00 |
Team World Elite vs LNG Esports
pick: Team World Elite (-1,5) @ 1.88
Generally, I was supposed to play yesterday. Today the odds are lower but the handicap is worth the risk. Don't play clean "1" because the odds are low. But it's interesting to win LNG alone because it's 4.33 in 1xbet, but I'm not going to risk it much (currently for 1/3 of what I play on 1(-1.5) (for the initiated).
The LNG has faced FPX, RNG and EDG in its last three series. FPX and EDG play similarly to Team WE so we can get a little closer to the race of today's game. LNG is a bit of a predictable team hoping to scale frequently for passive waiting without doing many proactive things on the map. LNG have one of the highest margins of defeat in LPL. 7 of their last 9 losses were double-digit.
People love the Team World Elite for DFS. World Elite have a few big wins and a lot of relatively fast killings also with strong rivals. like in the match with eStar and IG. It is worth noting that WE has the highest AMOV in LPL, which reaches almost 14.
bet from esporttalk

The purpose of this thread is to discuss anything related to todays matches, questions, predictions, bets etc that dont have a dedicated matchthread.
The daily bet thread for 13.08.2017. This Thread is meant for every game starting between 0:00 CET and 23:59 CEST on 13.08.2017
For Matches starting after that, please use the Thread for the next day, which should be posted arround 21:00 CEST today.
If you want to, you can still make a thread dedicated for a match using the templates linked in the sidebar. Please follow the instructions the Automoderator sends you after you posted a matchthread to have it flaired as finished
Good Luck for your bets.

Match prediction: Match prediction and pick:Egypt -1.25 goals Odds:2.14 Bookmaker: 1xbet
​
Match preview
Egypt, the most decorated nation in AFCON history with seven titles, got their campaign off to a winning 1-0 start. That result carried on the recent habit of the ‘Pharaohs’ being involved in low-scoring affairs, with four of their five games played this calendar year producing under 2.5 goals in total.
Furthermore, three of Egypt’s last four outings have ended 1-0 either way, which has occasionally been uncomfortable for their fans. Yet, with Egypt opening the scoring in four of their last five games, and seeing three of their last four victories yield a single-goal margin, it’s likely they will adopt their usual approach.
Meanwhile, two-time winners DR Congo lost 2-0 to Uganda in their opening game, and in turn, the ‘Leopards’ have now won just once since the start of 2018 (W1, D6, L3). Notably, five of the six draws in that sequence ended 1-1, though they fought back after conceding the first goal in four of those stalemates.
Similarly to the opposition, DR Congo’s games are typically low-scoring affairs. Just one of their ten games since the beginning of 2018 has seen over 2.5 total goals, and slightly over half of the total goals scored across this period have arrived after half-time (55.55%).
Players to watch: Egyptian midfielder Trezeguet has opened the scoring for his nation in each of their last three AFCON matches, including qualifying.DR Congo’s Cedric Bakambu is the only player to score a winning goal for his nation since Neeskens Kebano in November 2017.
​
Stat attack: The half-time scoreline has been 1-0 in Egypt’s favour in each of their last two matches.DR Congo have drawn seven of their last ten AFCON tournament group games (W2, D7, L1).
Five of Congo’s last seven AFCON tournament draws have seen under 2.5 match goals.

https://preview.redd.it/xb4r07jwe1y11.png?width=1920&format=png&auto=webp&s=22812d5935ae9644b2dbeef4f02539af6f05aa04
Updated predictions from MoreMMR AI for the Day 3 of Kuala Lumpur Major!
The second day has brought lots of surprises. Fnatic, which were wild on the group stage and which our machine made the bet on lost to VP, who played much more organized compared to the group stage. Sensationally, NIP dropped EG to the lower bracket. The lower bracket also brought lots of surprises to the Dota fans, so as to our Neural Network. The AI failed in 4/4 predictions of the Day 2, making the overall score 3/8.
Well, we hope for the best on the Day 3, while you can show your prediction skill for absolutely free, and win coolest prizes! Join our prediction contest and compete with the machine to win coolest gaming devices from HyperX and Vertagear! https://moremmr.com/en/prediction
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What do you think of AI predictions after the mistakes it did on day 2? Was it possible to guess the EG loss? Do you think EG can still win the Major?
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https://preview.redd.it/p9k71ac33my11.png?width=1920&format=png&auto=webp&s=3abb87eb3e9b9c9eb53dffc8ffb6d2e68c81bdfe
The main event is moving to Axiata Arena today, which means even more emotions for the viewers and more pressure on the players. Even though our machine did not learn to take the player's emotions in the assumption yet, it is still capable of predicting the results of the upcoming matches. Here is the vision of our Neural Network on how the tournament will go from this point.
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Speaking of emotions, our analyst (Santa-ex-pro player and TI 2011 veteran) claimed that Dota on the stage of such an important event is 80% about the emotions, and only 20% about the personal skill and teamplay. Would you agree? Is it even possible to predict the matches in Dota, assuming the number of factors influencing the players and the fast-changing rosters of the teams?
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P.S. If you are interested in betting, that may give you a small boost.
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However, please, bet smart