NFL Season Player Future Odds Vegas Sports Lines

bovada nfl player futures

bovada nfl player futures - win

Is anyone successful betting PGA (golf) any tips?

Hello, so i was thinking about starting to bet PGA since golf season just started. I know a ton about professional golf considering i played in college and have been a avid player all my life. But i have never really bet on it... last year i bet on the British open mostly single round match ups and did fairly decent but that's about it. I bet NFL, MLB, CFB, and only NBA during playoffs which i have been doing well since sticking to those sports every once in a while i will bet a UFC card... i absolutely hate betting on NBA regular season and refuse to do so... so i am looking towards PGA to hold me off while i wait for NFL playoff games. What are the good bets on the books for golf ? i see there are a lot of futures which have great odds but of course its really hard to pick a player to win a tournament.. any one have any tips? i Bet on Bovada Sports book.
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E-Sports & Virtual Betting

With 454 Million total audience viewers in 2019, and expected to hit 645 million viewers by 2022(2019 Global Esports Market Report); Esports is one of the fastest growing entertainment phenomena ever seen in the history of sports or competition. With contenders reigning from merely every corner of the world, and the majority of the age demographic under 25, it’s safe to say esports has yet to see it’s peak- and is far from it. Now carrying the recognition as an official sport, league owners must be mindful of major factors often shared in traditional sports; such as fair contracts, scheduling, and gambling. Although introduced as one large entity, Esports is a broad term to describe a variety of different video games and game modes. For example, if you were to compete in League of Legends, your team would have a total of 5 players versus other teams of 5. If you were to compete in Super Smash Brothers, you’d be competing as an individual versus other individuals. Each of these games requires its own unique skill set. In contrast to traditional sports, many E-Sports competitor’s openly broadcast their schematics, personality, and some, full practices. These live broadcasts on websites such as Amazon’s Twitch, or mixer, gives the average viewer much simpler alternative to help comprehend the game. And gives young e sports players a genuine insight to help grow their skills. But how does this accessibility affect the game? If NFL’s winning-est team in history, the New England Patriots, were to broadcast every practice, and Tom Brady was to stream his training methods daily; many in the sports world would argue they would’ve accomplished a fraction of their current successes. With discretion and scheme being such a big factor in major league sports, it’s understandable why teams go as far as possible to gain any knowledge on opposing teams. Whether it be hidden camera men to scout teams sidelines to see hand signs or dugout members banging their bats in a specific fashion to alert the batter of the change-up. All of these actions, legal or illegal, are summed up as an attempt to attain any sliver of insight that can help win the game. So with all of this information openly given to opposing teams through streaming platforms,YouTube, and broadcasts, who wins? Gamblers. Virtual gamblers specifically. With the legalization of sports gambling in its infancy, along with the expansion of popularity in virtual live-betting with websites such as bovada; virtual betting and esports allows gamblers the experience to place bets and watch an event at live speed, in under 10 clicks of a mouse. And although many esports supporters are too young to place bets themselves; in the future, this could lead to a form of gambling never quite seen before. A form of gambling where the bettor no longer needs to walk to the sportsbook to place their bets. A form of gambling where the bettor no longer needs to watch their event at a bar. A form of gambling where the bettor can leisurely watch their favorite stream a couple times a week and carry the same insight as the bookkeepers they’re betting against. For older sports bettors and those relatively unfamiliar with esports, it may be quite unappealing to place your hard earned money on the back of 20 year old virtual athletes. But with their ability to train from such a young age, for a median 8 hours a day, over the course of a couple years. The time esports athletes spend honing their craft is equivalent, or greater than many other professional athletes at the same age. Many younger bettors with an understanding of esports and the sports book see the golden opportunity at hand. And with an estimated $8 billion placed in 2019 for esports bets alone, the interest in the collision of these two worlds can predictably be at an all-time high by the end of the decade.
submitted by ZekeBets to u/ZekeBets [link] [comments]

Global Fantasy Sports Market Capacity and Profit , Forecast by Manufacturers FanDuel, DraftKings, Yahoo,, & more

Global Fantasy Sports Market Capacity and Profit , Forecast by Manufacturers FanDuel, DraftKings, Yahoo,, & more

Fantasy Sports Market | Size, Share, Trends | Industry Analysis |Acquire Market Research

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This post was originally published on Acquire Market Research
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Removed comments/submissions for /u/dustydustyplaya

Hi dustydustyplaya, you're not shadowbanned, but 13 of your most recent 29 comments/submissions were removed. They may be removed automatically by spam filters and not necessarily by human moderators.
Comment (1pts) in fantasyfootball, "Undefeated teams: Share your rosters", (18 Oct 19):
0.5 PPR, surviving surprisingly well despite some early round underperformers. But it feels like it's all downhill from here...
QBs: R Wilson / J Winston
RBs: A Jones/ P Lindsay/ J Jacobs
WRs: D Ho...
Comment (1pts) in fantasyfootball, "Official: [Tuesday Waiver Wire] - Tue Evening, 10/15/2019", (16 Oct 19):
Are you lost?
Comment (1pts) in sportsbook, "Brag and Bitch - 10/9/19 (Wednesday)", (09 Oct 19):
Bet on B. Sigouin/R. Stalder tennis doubles today ML. They took the first set handily, then were up 5-1 in second set, when the opponent quit/retired to end the match. Bovada is scoring it No Acti...
Comment (1pts) in sportsbook, "Pick of the Day - 10/6/19 (Sunday)", (06 Oct 19):
Where are you seeing that spread and odds? Far different from all the books I'm looking at - I'd say impossible to find.
Comment (1pts) in sportsbook, "Pick of the Day - 10/6/19 (Sunday)", (06 Oct 19):
POTD #1: NE/WAS Q1 O7.5 (-105) (bovada) Pats start games hot. And this is a steal compared to the 1H O/U 22.5 and full game 44. -105 odds help. I think Pats have great shot of scoring 10+ in first qua...
Submission in baseball, "Is Zach Greinke a future HOF?", 1pts (26 Sep 19)
Comment (1pts) in fantasyfootball, "Ridiculous Trade Offers", (26 Sep 19):
Is that really that unfair? I mean two players is better than one
Comment (1pts) in fantasyfootball, "Official: [Wednesday Weekly Trade Value] - Wed Afternoon,...", (19 Sep 19):
BLOCKBUSTER in 2 Team .5-PPR
Give: Dalvin Cook, Keenan Allen, V McDonald, Minnesota D Get: Aaron Jones, TY Hilton, Zach Ertz, Joe Mixon
I have solid Defense behind Minnesota, and am in need of a FLE...
Comment (1pts) in fantasyfootball, "Official: [Wednesday Weekly Trade Value] - Wed Afternoon,...", (19 Sep 19):
12 Team .5-PPR
Give: Dalvin Cook, Keenan Allen, V McDonald, Minnesota D Get: Mixon, Ertz, Aaron Jones, TY Hilton I have solid Defense behind Minnesota, and am in need of a FLEX with Jarvis not pannin...
Submission in fantasyfootball, ""I keep seeing news about one of your Patriots! I'm not sure who- oh, I know! It's Anthony Bourdain!" - My GF", 1pts (13 Sep 19)
Submission in nfl, ""I keep seeing news about one of your Patriots! I'm not sure who- oh, I know! It's Anthony Bourdain!" - My GF", 1pts (13 Sep 19)
Comment (1pts) in survivor, "I find it sort of funny", (12 Sep 19):
Asshole
Submission in fantasyfootball, "Is it wrong to veto a trade strategically?", 0pts (12 Sep 19)
Bot here. My home is at /CommentRemovalChecker - check if your comments/submissions have been silently removed!
Help us expose and stand up to social media bias and censorship!
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Stafford moves to T-3rd in Bovada's MVP odds after week 1

Bovada MVP odds according to OddShark.com has Stafford at +1000 after week 1. Tied with Derek Carr behind Aaron Rodgers and Tom Brady. Stafford was +5000 and tied for 15th with many other players back in June.
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[Table] IAmA: I am Pat Morrow, the head NFL Oddsmaker at Bovada AMA!

Verified? (This bot cannot verify AMAs just yet)
Date: 2014-09-04
Link to submission (Has self-text)
Questions Answers
I saw a comment in /nfl yesterday which suggested that your MVP odds are based not only on the actual odds of the player winning, but on the amount of money that is being bet (which was their explanation for why a guy like Manziel even has odds in the first place.) Part of the fun in posting odds like these across any sport is having to follow the opinion of crotchety sportswriters talk about why they may vote for a player because he "plays the game the right away". Goodness.
I'm an avid gambler and I always wanted to work in sports gambling- how did you get in your position? I kind of fell into it. I had been wagering on sports from a very young age with medium levels of success. While I always thought that I just "got sports", having a mathematical background helped me quantify what I was seeing, and then eventually, what and how I was betting.
One stupid question (maybe) what are the restrictions on betting for you since you are an oddsmaker? Because there isn't often a 'Help Wanted' sign when it comes to these positions, I'd recommend familiarizing yourself with the ins and outs of excel, programming and intense mathematics. Then go out and start crushing books. The best way to get noticed by sportsbooks is to go and take their money.
How do you determine odds for WWE events when it's a scripted event? Admittedly I'm not the biggest WWE fan, but there's a lot of information in messageboards and podcasts about what storylines make the most sense and what fans reasonably expect to happen.
Having said that...
The Undertaker was a 1/20 favorite at Wrestlemania versus Brock Lesnar. Long story short, his reign of Wrestlemania supremacy came to an end and we suffered our worst single-event loss in the month of April of this year.
Lesnar has the rare distinction of costing us a lot of money in both real and scripted fighting.
What (in your opinion) is the most interesting prop bet you've ever done on the site? Wracking my brain and we've really run gamut here. Our Super Bowl props this past February had 500 different options surrounding national anthem length, gatorade color dumped on winning coach, Bruno Mars' first song...etc.
Lately we've been experimenting more with in-game props. If a player is close to a significant in-game achievement, we've begun to offer odds on perfect games, no-hitters, hitting for the cycle. Anything that differentiates us from our competitors. The reception to these have been really positive.
Do you have any stories or examples of a time you've set a line and found yourself WAY off where other books (Vegas, online, anywhere) have put the number? The Super Bowl is a great example here as while most games closed it as a PK (or SEA/DEN) small fave, we held with the Broncos as 3-pt favorites. I know this seemingly contradicts what I've said before about recreational money affecting the line, but the Super Bowl as a one-off event takes more than anything else we'll offer in a calendar year.
Did you stick to your number or move more in line with the consensus? Because of the overwhelming action on a event like this, we were happy to have money on the Broncos at this price while conceding that those betting on Seattle likely had very valuable bets.
What was the largest bet you have ever taken? In relation to the average bet size for the market, we took mid-five figures over-limit bet on Mitt Romney to win the last Presidential Election from one of our larger players. Political wagering was something that in previous years had seen average bet sizes of $10-$20 but with more science behind the process (ie. poll aggregation etc), we had much higher limits in 2010 than we had had in previous years.
We were big Obama fans by election night.
What's the hardest sport to get right? Of the main sports right now, I'd say NCAA-B was brutal last year, if only for totals. The new rules surrounding called fouls pushed scoring up ~20 pts per game early last season as games devolved into free-throw competitions. Fortunately the calls softened as the season progressed but there were a lot of NCAA-B events last year that both we and our competitors were unable to even post totals for.
Curious approximately how much money (in how short a time span) has to get put down for a line to move by a point (or even half a point)? There's no one answer here as there's a lot of competing factors here. Earlier in the week when the limits are lower, a smaller bet from a respected player can move the line simply by having his financial opinion out there whereas a longterm loser dropping a significant bet on a point spread will rarely make us bat an eyelash. More often than not it's the opinion of the few (or changing information) that moves lines for us, not pure volume.
How come you guys are always the last ones to put up moneyline bets or even spreads in general? Why are your spreads constantly worse than other sites such as 5dimes? We get this one a lot and its dictated largely by our player base. Because our players are more of the recreational variety (smaller bets with bets coming closer to game time), we don't traditionally see a lot of handle, especially in relation to our game day handle when we post early. In terms of raw numbers, ~80% of our wagering for an NFL event comes in about an hour before it kicks off.
Recreational, small bettors are the majority everywhere. You are in fact driving away the larger bettors at the same time by limiting yourself to that audience. 2 days prior to the game is not posting early. Most large, growing sites list at least a week in advance. That's a fair point and we may look in the future to posting earlier with even lower limits. As it stands, we're comfortable with the current offering times as a business practice.
Why is it that bovada only offers a limited amount of moneylines? It's a liability issue -- When spreads get up to a certain point, the ML payout on the underdog becomes high enough that, when available for parlays with other significant underdogs, creates concerning liabilities. Each book eventually kills the moneyline offering when the underdog odds get up to a certain point. Ours is just a touch more conservative.
How come you dont offer any kind of betting trend statistics? Eh, a lot of the time these trends are close to useless. There are so many mitigating/contextual factors missing from "[team-x] has covered the spread [y-times] when [z-factor] is in play" that there's not always a lot to be taken from it.
They serve as entertainment but I would rarely be betting off of these so-called trends.
Have you looked in to adding Esports such as Starcraft 2, or League of Legends? As for Esports, I loved playing StarCraft when I was younger but I just don't see the market for it with our players and to be honest, wouldn't know where to start when it comes to capping it.
What stats do you use when making odds for week 1? Preseason or last season? A combo of both? Does it vary for the team? Last season with adjustments for depth. Preseason is largely a tirefire (the Colts under Peyton Manning would traditionally go 0-4 and 1-3) but there are small snippets of info worth gathering, especially with teams that are looking to improve and actually need those extra reps, versus teams that are already established.
How does live betting work? Do you hire people to watch the games and close betting when certain events happen (penalties, goals, etc)? Are the people hired sitting in the actual stands watching the games? Because it seems they always see things happen before the delay. We try to optimize the variety of the feeds we have available to us to ensure we have the quickest feed possible. Unfortunately (for our live traders), they have not yet been given the opportunity to attend the matches they're trading, but we try and keep them as comfortable as possible with their own private offices, big screen TVs and 6 different television feeds for each event.
What are your best leans for a 7 team parlay this opening weekend? I would advise finding individual bets that you like more than looking to make it rich on a massive payout like that. Typically sportsbooks hold much higher on parlays then they do on a straight bets so you should...
Wait.
Seahawks Browns Bengals Bears Cowboys Giants Titans/Chiefs u43.5.
Lock it up :)
Who do you like for final two this year and why? (NFL) The Broncos out of the AFC because the rest of the conference is hot garbage otherwise. While the Seahawks are still the class of the NFC, I personally like the Saints to represent them in the Super Bowl this year. (I think that Rob Ryan defense will be deadly )
I find pop culture bets really fascinating; outside of awards shows, what leads to a pop culture event getting posted odds? Any chance that you'll increase your number of pop culture bets going forward? Player interest drives these and awards shows are becoming more and more popular. We used to only offer the Academy Awards for film related wagering, but have since complemented that with the Golden Globes and Screen Actor's Guild awards.
We're probably not going to add the Razzies anytime soon, though.
Is it hard to cap teams such as Baylor, Oregon, etc in NCAAFB? They seem like they can score so much that setting a line seams difficult. Going back the past two seasons, they are 11-0 ATS at home. If it's a prospective blowout, then very much so. We have our ratings based on how strong we believe teams to be, but at what point do they take their foot off the gas? Trying to account for that is much harder than a shorter spread that is more likely correlated to what a team is trying to achieve over 60 minutes.
Are any games memorable as huge money makers (or losers) for Bovada? Most recently, the Super Bowl was the best individual day in terms of spread, props, futures, even live betting -- We continued to offer an updated spread throughout the game and the Seahawks covered each one, the highest being around -37 in-play.
Last updated: 2014-09-08 21:02 UTC
This post was generated by a robot! Send all complaints to epsy.
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[Table] IAmA: We made BET RAISE FOLD, a documentary about the boom and bust of online poker in the USA - ASK US ANYTHING!

Verified? (This bot cannot verify AMAs just yet)
Date: 2013-12-09
Link to submission (Has self-text)
Questions Answers
Do you think online poker will go through another boom when it is fully reintegrated in the United States? What is the biggest way that most online poker pros have maintained their way of living post Black Friday? Do you have any other docs in the works? I really enjoyed Bet Raise Fold. I think it would be v hard for it to "boom" (like explode out of nowhere like it did in the 2000s) again, but it will surely grow, and I'm optimistic that it will grow to be an even larger industry than before (over the long run, could take a decade or more). like Yoda says, "hard to see, the future is." totally applies to the future of online poker - there are so many known and unknown variables at play at all times.
How much of 2M2MM was staged? It was a very entertaining show to watch.. any chances for another season? Hmm, hard to say. all reality TV is staged to some degree. from what I understand/gleaned from the production team working on the show (they were all vets of the reality TV world, worked on shows like Amazing Race and Ghost Hunters), 2M2MM trended much closer to the documentary side of reality tv than most. that said, I often compare the experience of 2M2MM like being an actor playing myself - and I think everyone who participated would prob agree w that. the plots of each episode were set up in advance (though we'd argue vigorously with the prodco to make sure if anything was "set up for the show" it'd be something we normally might do in real life). the most staged stuff would be like the house wars vs aejones/luckychewy (situation set up for the show), or aspects of the Benyamine match (Erica Schoenberg is at the pool specifically for our scene, it's not a chance encounter), or Dani and Chewy hunting for girls for the Connect 4 Charity episode. the completely real stuff is all the poker action - our bankrolls and emotions on full display for the world!
The Tilt Room was set up for the show, too - maybe my greatest invention all time. smashing watermelons with a sledgehammer is an awesome way to de-tilt (but very wasteful!!! smashing pottery - more responsible way to fill your tilt room, ppl)
Did you guys ever wake up Emil? On 2M2MM, the production team famously had to break down two doors of his (he won the master bedroom and it was so ballin it had two doors he could lock to keep people out) to wake him up for a shoot towards the end of filming.
We did wake him up, and he had a piece of that action - so it was a more pleasant awakening than the times we'd prank wake him by telling him all the pizzerias in NY were on strike or the house was on fire.
Actually, did Viffer ever find out about his pot bet bluffing tell? I heard he went into lockdown and wouldn't come out until he had fixed it :)
Who would be in your team of poker player super heroes and who would their x-men or avengers counter parts be? Maybe best question anyone has ever asked.
Ashton Griffin - Wolverine.
Ben "Sauce" Sulsky - Beast.
Ziigmund - Thor.
Dani Stern - The Incredible Hulk.
Vanessa Selbst - Jean Grey.
Aaron "aejones" Jones - Iron Man.
Jennifer Harman - Storm.
Erik Seidel - Captain America.
Chris Ferguson - Gambit.
Not a superhero but Howard Lederer is totally Kingpin. (actually, Kingpin might have to be Ivey...)
ROSENKRANTZ - Do you still play poker as a main source of income? When you do play do you play online outside of the US or live? Nope - i actually don't play much poker at all, outside of WSOP. i'll play in home games now and then but it's mostly a social thing. was thinking about making an extended trip to Montreal to visit Martin, hear him play music and grind online next year... i miss playing online poker a TON. what's more fun than stacking n00bs with AA.
Check-raising stupid fucking tourists? Stacks and towers of checks I can't even see over!!!
Do you think that you could persuade the Alamo Drafthouse in Denver to have a showing? If these three screenings (Yonkers, Austin, KC) are profitable for them, or I can show them we have a strong group of people in Denver who'd come out, it's a possibility...
Yo Krantz, where is the information on the one in Yonkers? I live in Queens would love to go and show my support. Oh man, thanks for the support - it happened last week though :/
How often do you play live/online (hours per week/month or whatever)? What stakes? Also, you guys toss money around like toilet paper. Send me a couple grand so i can make a tilt/lockdown room and go pro. Thanks, man! If you surf through some of the other posts in this thread you can read some more, but since Black Friday I don't play much poker live or online. If there were legal online poker in my state right now, I'd probably dabble in small and mid stakes and try to build up a bankroll playing NLHE/PLO cash (shorthanded and heads up) and the occasional tournament!
2M2MM was in 2009, 4+ years later and all that toilet paper is more valuable to everybody :)
With your experience in documentary and financing, can you get "I BET YOU" tv series back in production? phil laak craziness needs to be serialized. If I ever run into him, I will plant the seed. should have run 6 seasons and a movie.
Do you think bitcoin will change the future of online gambling? I'm still trying to wrap my head around bitcoin... i have these handy videos bookmarked to watch as soon as i get some free time! Link to www.khanacademy.org
Link to www.youtube.com
Do you see the games remaining as reg-infested and hard as they are now? Is there a point where everything about NLHE is basically known and therefore the skill level of most pros will be capped? Not if the sites figure out how to bring in more casual players - a priority for their businesses as the US market legalizes and the global market matures. Hard to say what the games could look like in 5 years... I think there will be fewer pros/regs. Also think NLHE will always be the most popular game even though basic strategy is pretty well known to anyone who wants to put in the time.
Hi, Jay. Great movie, really enjoyed it. Thanks! My plans are really to throw myself into writing and producing with the same focus and intensity that I gave to poker during my early 20s. I'd like to write and publish some books (fiction, nonfiction, poker, nonpoker), write and produce more movies, TV, games... I'm inspired by artists like Joss Whedon, Ray Bradbury, Hayao Miyazaki, Bill Watterson... entrepreneurs like Tim League, Burnie Burns and Felicia Day and the folks at VHX and Pixar and Valve... Basically, I want to build a career in popular entertainment, telling smart, resonant stories to larger and larger audiences. And I want to work with the best people I can while I do this.
What are your plans for the next 1-5 years? I also plan to win the WSOP Main Event, but that could take 6-7 years because you gotta get lucky!
Are you still friends with the cast from 2M2MM and do you and any of them still rent a house in Vegas for the summer? We are great friends! I actually lived with Emil and Brian in a house this summer while I was out at the WSOP premiering BRF. We worked out a ton (Brian is REALLY into Olympic weightlifting these days) and watched lots of movies. There was a movie theater room in the house and those guys have eclectic wide ranging tastes in film so it was really fun. One of our favorites was this Norwegian crime thrilleblack comedy called Headhunters: Link to www.imdb.com
Also I was one of the many backers on Kickstarter for BRF. How tedious was it putting everyone's name in the credits? Dani, Brian and Emil lived together in Toronto for awhile post Black Friday but now Dani has a serious girlfriend, a dog and a cat and they're all living in different countries (well, Dani and Brian live near each other in Mexico but Emil's in Finland)
As poker players, do you feel like you've lost an appreciation for money? Who do you think is the most overrated poker player nowadays? I definitely lost any conception of the value of the dollar during the height of the online poker boom. Post Black Friday, 3 years later, I feel like I have a much healthier and more reasonable relationship with money. I think any serious poker player has to divorce himself from the value of money in order to risk it with complete and utter disregard for anything but the expected value of the play. If I had to answer the overrated question... I'd say wcrider (sp?) is overrated. Not skill wise - I have no idea how good or bad he is objectively - but I've read a few of his forum posts on 2p2 and he is clearly young with a huge ego, and you just can't be the best in the world with an ego the size of an elephant (though it can give you some huge competitive advantages). But see how subjective a question like this is? For the most part the idea of underrated or overrated players is worthless, variance is a way bigger factor than anyone understands... the only person who can truly and accurately "rate" a poker player's skill is the player themselves!
Will there be any new videos on TheMicros? I so hope so. The major problem for us is the economics... the cost of animating those episodes is pretty big in terms of money and time. The sponsorship model worked great pre-Black Friday, but post Black Friday and the market for an animated poker show is completely different. John and I have thought about Kickstarting it, but I'm not confident we could raise enough money to do it the way we'd want to (if we come back, we want to come back full throttle, with regularly scheduled content and season long storylines... we don't want to just put up an episode or two here or there). There are a few options I've been thinking about, but they're just ideas at this point.
There's a big possibility we'll come back soon with regular comics, though. You can check out some examples of what these would look like on our Facebook page (there's a photo gallery of the ~12 comics we've done so far): Link to www.facebook.com
Hey all, what are your thoughts on regulated poker, putting Delaware politely to one side, is there half a chance of it being successful in New Jersey, without interstate compacts? By successful, I probably mean will we see guy n girls like you in that state playing for a living? Will there be the liquidity to sustain a more than a handful of full timers? I think it will be successful but it will not explode overnight, it will take time and nurturing like any good crop... growing the igaming business in NJ, the companies' priorities are not necessarily directly in line with catering to guys/gals like us who want to play for a living. So I don't think you'll see many full timers playing exclusively on NJ sites. See Joe Tall's post in this thread for more insight into this, it's pretty good!
Probably too late but I'll give it a shot anyway. I tried to/try to study and it felt like pulling teeth. I became interested in applications of game theory for a few months and the challenge of reeducating myself in basic maths was interesting... but even then I didn't feel as energized or excited about thinking about poker as I did when I was able to play and compete consistently. I decided recently that I'd just take a break until I was able to play consistently again (I have been thinking about a trip to NJ or out of the country to grind for a bit, but it's just an idea right now).
Any words of advice here? I'm tired so this is kind of rambly and I'm just talking some of this out loud for the first time, but I hope this helps a bit. Post Black Friday I've done a lot of reevaluating my relationship with poker and the expectations I have of it and it's done a lot to reverse feelings of anger, sadness and frustration at the US situation (and at the game in general).
What was the biggest thing you guys have bet on beside poker? Games of NFL Blitz, trick pool shots, what LuckyChewy thinks the distance from the Earth to the sun is, whether [name redacted] can get those strippers to come ride the inflatable dolphin, oveunder of how long they can ride it for before falling in pool... countless thousands have been won and lost on these diabolical problems.
off, great movie! It was well worth the wait. My question is this, what is the craziest, most extravagant thing you purchased with your poker winnings? Thank you! whitelime reminds me of a night in NYC at a club called Arena (who knows if this place still exists), where we went heads up against NYG running back Brandon Jacobs in a bottle-buying war. the bottles came equipped with sexy bottle babes and sparklers. we lost the bottle war to BJ (in hindsight i think we lost the battle, too - huuuge tab)
I want to first thank you for establishing an amazing training site in DC. It has helped my game immensely. For the questions: would you consider yourself more of a filmmaker or poker player at this point? In a podcast slowhabit noted poker helped his entrepeneurship immensely and vice versa. Do you see any similar parallels b/t poker and film-making? Thanks! I'll always consider myself a poker player, but in terms of profession I suppose I'm trending towards the filmmaker side of the coin. But all of the creative work I do will be influenced by the unique way I see the world - a viewpoint heavily influenced by poker. It's an insanely beautiful game: a complex blend of strategy, tactics and human emotion. Being a poker player isn't a profession to me, it's something I can't help... at this point it's part of the fabric of my identity.
I don't think we would have ended up with a movie this good (or maybe not a movie at all!) if Taylor and I didn't bring our backgrounds in poker and entrepreneurship to bear to make as many +EV decisions as we possibly could over the entirety of the project. In a lot of ways filmmaking is an entrepreneurial pursuit, in a lot of ways producing a movie is like multitabling high stakes online poker. You're juggling tons of variables, managing human relationships, analyzing risk, making high pressure decisions...
I talk a lot about this stuff in this podcast with Jared Tendler: Link to www.mentalgamefish.com
I really enjoyed the movie and showed it to my family. But their reaction across the board was: "But they only portray people who win in the game!". What do you think of this reaction? Isn't portraying mostly the pros or winning player missing a big slice of what online poker is. We were originally interested in finding a losing player... posting what Ryan posted earlier about this: "Yes, we were planning to follow someone exactly like that. However, we found it more challenging than we expected to find a compelling, losing player who was willing to go on camera. For example, I spoke briefly with grimstarr (online poker veterans will know who this is) about appearing in the film, but there were too many complications involved." After Black Friday it became pretty much impossible for us to add another character, winner or loser. We also felt like the downsides of poker had already been given a lot of treatment in the cultural representation of the game... but nothing had been done to authentically show the lives of modern professional poker players during the poker boom. Still, we did have many conversations about the losers, about the pros who are staked, etc... what we should or could convey about that aspect of the game... ultimately we decided we needed to stick to our core characters (especially after Black Friday) and their experiences. We did make an effort to explore the psychological consequences of losing as a professional, and the risks that you take on when you do play this game for a living... hopefully that sequence in the last third of the film can show that even the winners are losers, and they lose often! Basically, a lot of the energy for this project's conception was to showcase what it was like to be an online pro player, and dispel misconceptions that the public has about poker and online poker. To show the injustice done to the industry as a result of the UIGEA... to show what caused the boom... historical events like this, put into context in a digestible way. That was the driving motivation in making the film and selecting Danielle, Tony and Martin - and after Black Friday, their stories were all that mattered to this particular film. Hope this sheds some light on our thinking.
Hey Krantz! Play tons of poker, think about it with a truly open mind and engage in critical discussion of poker with tons of players of all skill levels. Tenacity and fearlessness are your words to live by (and maybe "breathe," for when you're tilting).
What advice would you have for an online player from the us that plays on bovada to move up the stakes. Currently grinding double-up sit n gos and crushing ? I really love this post about training and practice. If you want to move up and become better, work hard and work smart: Link to forumserver.twoplustwo.com
Jay, I asked you on twitter during the months leading up to the release about selling autographed pictures of some online pros in the movie on kickstarter to raise money. You replied saying it was a good idea and you'd look into it. I was thrilled, but become really bummed when I saw that the signed movie poster costs $200. I wish I could afford it, but I just can't. I graduate from university in a week and still don't have a job offer, so this is above my price range. Since you have 18/20 left, is there a chance of a price drop for them in the future? We actually only managed to get about 5-7 signed posters total and ran out! but email me your info at [email protected] and i will see if we can find some way to get you something cool! (i remember your tweets!)
In the home game you had on 2m2mm, did Andrew robl ever tell you what his other card was? He showed you a jack he hit on the river.. He didn't - I tried to get it out of him, but he wouldn't say. based on what I know of him i'm 95% sure it was a good fold (5% he made a sick bluff and is so buddha he doesn't need to brag or show it on TV)
I loved BRF by the way and my dad liked it too. It helped him understand "my world" a little better. You gotta learn the language of filmmaking, and you gotta experiment (in poker terms, you can't just study - you hafta play hands!). So try to make a little short documentary about something (this is what we did - FROM BUSTO TO ROBUSTO ended up being essential practice in learning to make something as big as BRF) and take it all the way through from preproduction to marketing and distribution, even if it's just on the tiniest scale.
I'm sure you learned so much throughout the course of making the film, so if you could go back to give yourself advice from when you just started BRF, what would you say? Thanks! It's awesome to hear about friends/family enjoying the movie. I'm heading out to host this theatrical screening in Austin but I will get back to you on your question tonight. OK, I'm back. I'm glad you love FCH because my first bit of advice is to read the ebook he just released: Link to www.amazon.com
I am curious on roughly how sales are going? How did you choose how to distribute the film. Really enjoyed the film. Direct sales through VHX were great. Not tens of thousands of people but very strong for an independent documentary. The decision to distribute the film through a combination of Kickstarter, VHX and Tugg (skipping film festivals in favor of debuting at the 2013 World Series of Poker) was made mostly as a result of talking to other filmmakers, studying the success of Indie Game: The Movie (Link to www.indiegamethemovie.com and reading Think Outside the Box Office (Link to www.amazon.com)
If we could go back and do it again I don't think we would have done much differently. The biggest change I'd have made to our strategy would have been to organize a ~6 city Tugg tour of the film to build hype before the online release, and to incorporate Kickstarter earlier in the production (it would have been really fun and cathartic to share the ups and downs of the whole production process with backers!)
Just rewatched 2M2MM a few weeks back...LOL at Jay's roller skating penalty stunt. Question about the doc...how did you decide on profiling Dunst, Alexei and Danielle? Who else was a finalist to be featured? Still got those roller skates!
Why does ansky keep knocking me out of ftops!! Pretty sure this stems from his anger issues. see 2M2MM Mach 5 snap call argument for evidence. he HULKS out when he sees your SN and smashes your soul!
Not so much a question as an obvious point. Loved the film, loved being a part of it and helping out. I really don't have anything else. If anyone here hasn't seen the film yet, do so asap. It really is an incredible piece of work. Love you too, bro! and not just because you're also named Jay. it's because the goddamn FORCE IS WITH YOU.
Given that Jay's poker training site, "Deuces Cracked" ( Link to www.deucescracked.co ), actually make Duck merchandise ( Link to img651.imageshack.us ), and your username is PERSIANDUCK i think you guys should form the first poker supergroup and call yourselves "THE MIGHTY DUCKS". Those ducks are collectors items!!!
I assume this question was targeted at Jay or Tony/Danielle/Martin, but the most extravagant thing I ever purchased was an $800 couch. Still had the wrapper on it and everything. Where'd you get $800?
Jay,The Texas Legislator will go back in to session in Jan of 2015. I expect that there will be hearing for both live and online poker. Since your living in the Austin would you be willing to testify at the State Capitol in Austin in front of the Texas State Legislator to help bring poker to Texas. I love comedy but have 0 appetite for politics. I don't believe I could say anything that would be more helpful than what we've said in making Bet Raise Fold, and I don't believe that anything but money will help bring poker to Texas :)
Very tedious, but well well worth it. Thanks so much for supporting the project! Yes, huge thank you for backing us!
Krantz, in a deucescracked video where you commentated with ariel about his match against tie53, bit of a famous hand. Q67hh-Tss, Tie53 check raises a committing size on the turn. we fold Q6. Do you still think this was a close fold with Q6 or do you appreciate now that it was probably wrong. Don't recall the specifics of that hand but I think past Jay/past Ariel were probably right and no one, not even me from the future, would know better than them :)
Last updated: 2013-12-13 16:03 UTC
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